🪞 Andreas Halvorsen · Viking Global
Long-short fundamental (Tiger cub).
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🔮 Predicted next buys: quarter ending 2026-06-30
Pure model output for Andreas Halvorsen · Viking Global’s next 13F filing, no public confirmation yet. Probabilities are the model’s raw scores.
| # | Ticker | Company | Model probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HAS | Hasbro Inc | 92% |
| 2 | PCH | Potlatchdeltic Corp | 88% |
| 3 | EQPT | Equipmentshare.Com Inc-A | 88% |
| 4 | CRWV | Coreweave Inc-Cl A | 87% |
| 5 | EXEEZ | Chesapeake Energy -Cw26 | 86% |
| 6 | IBKR | Interactive Brokers Gro-Cl A | 86% |
| 7 | AMED | Amedisys Inc | 83% |
| 8 | BYND | Beyond Meat Inc | 82% |
| 9 | CVLT | Commvault Systems Inc | 75% |
| 10 | HES | Hess Corp | 75% |
📉 Predicted exits, conviction fading
Of Andreas Halvorsen · Viking Global’s current disclosed holdings, the names a model flags as most likely to be EXITED or TRIMMED next quarter, before the 13F shows it. Model score (not a calibrated probability), ranked. Holdings as of 2026-03-31.
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last move | Sell likelihood |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOE | Cboe Global Mkts Inc | 0.54% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 68 |
| PNC | Pnc Finl Svcs Group Inc | 1.76% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 67 |
| DKS | Dicks Sporting Goods Inc | 0.70% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 66 |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica Inc | 0.42% | added last Q | ▲▲ 66 |
| - | Stellantis N.V | 0.31% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 63 |
| RAL | Ralliant Corp | 0.25% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 63 |
| HD | Home Depot Inc | 0.46% | added last Q | ▲▲ 62 |
| COF | Capital One Finl Corp | 0.82% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 61 |
⚠️ This predicts the ACTION (whether Andreas Halvorsen · Viking Global reduces the position), not a return and not a short. A 13F shows long positions only, so a “sell” here means exiting or cutting a long, never shorting the stock. Walk-forward validated on the decision (AUC ≈ 0.66), but acting on it is not shown to make money. Research, not advice.
📜 Top disclosed holdings: Mar 2026
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last change |
|---|---|---|---|
| V | Visa Inc | 5.35% | ➕ Added |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac | 4.22% | ✊ Held |
| SCHW | Schwab Charles Corp | 3.86% | ✊ Held |
| DIS | Disney Walt Co | 3.59% | ➕ Added |
| FTV | Fortive Corp | 3.48% | ➕ Added |
| APD | Air Products And Chemicals I | 3.33% | ➖ Trimmed |
| MCD | Mcdonalds Corp | 3.15% | ✊ Held |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | 2.79% | ✊ Held |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | 2.59% | ➕ Added |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 2.55% | ➖ Trimmed |
| BBIO | Bridgebio Pharma Inc | 2.46% | ➖ Trimmed |
| CVNA | Carvana Co | 2.44% | ➕ Added |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 2.39% | ➖ Trimmed |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc | 2.29% | ➕ Added |
| JPM | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2.23% | ➕ Added |
Source: SEC Form 13F (public domain), long U.S. equity positions only, disclosed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Top 15 of 77 shown.
💲 Where they bought: accumulation cost
13F shows holdings, not trade prices. Implied average cost is total value ÷ shares; the zone is the price range that quarter, where they accumulated. “vs cost” is today versus that average. This is where they bought, not a future price.
| Ticker | Avg cost | Accumulation zone | Today | vs cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V | $302.24 | $295–$356 | $348.97 | +15.5% |
| TSM | $337.95 | $316–$386 | $420.39 | +24.4% |
| SCHW | $93.98 | $91–$106 | $103.12 | +9.7% |
| DIS | $96.38 | $92–$115 | $96.17 | -0.2% |
| FTV | $55.28 | $53–$62 | $61.78 | +11.8% |
| APD | $290.49 | $247–$290 | $295.62 | +1.8% |
| MCD | $310.79 | $298–$339 | $278.25 | -10.5% |
| SHW | $320.55 | $303–$371 | $338.14 | +5.5% |
| TSLA | $371.75 | $355–$452 | $380.84 | +2.4% |
| AAPL | $253.79 | $246–$278 | $333.74 | +31.5% |
🧬 Factor fingerprint, the style behind the book
89% of Andreas Halvorsen · Viking Global’s day-to-day swings are explained by public, buyable factors (Fama-French 5 + momentum), regressed on their current disclosed book (15 of 15 names, ~451 trading days). Market beta 1.06.
⚠️ This is the part the great investors can’t hide: their style is a tilt toward known factors, and every one of these is sold as a cheap index ETF. Buying the factors gets you most of the book for a few basis points. What’s left after the factors (the residual) is noisy on a single concentrated book and is not a reliable edge, read this as transparency about the style you’re copying, not a secret signal. Loadings are in-sample on current static weights, U.S. long positions only. Research, not advice.
📈 This mirror’s track: backtest vs S&P 500
⚠️ Read this honestly. Leak-free walk-forward backtest: top-10 predicted new buys ranked from a broad ~2,000-name universe known at the rebalance date, equal-weight, 1-quarter holds, complete quarters only, gross (before costs). Small samples, per-investor edges are noisy and not statistically significant. The consensus mirror's backtest shows +1.8 pts/quarter net vs the S&P 500 over 47 complete quarters (2014–2026), directional, NOT statistically significant (t≈1.4; 95% CI includes zero). Past performance does not predict future results. Not investment advice.
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