Free research · the playbook, published early

Mirror the world’s best investors, before their next move is public.

Autopilot lets you copy an investor after their filing is public. Prior Moves surfaces the same move about six weeks sooner, across five markets, so you can mirror it while it still matters. You place the trades at your own broker; we publish the playbook for 44 tracked investors, disclosed record and predicted next move.

Build a basket Why not just copy?
Research, not advice. DYOR. We never execute or hold money As of Jun 2026
How it works

Three steps. The last one is yours.

§1
We read the record

Every 13F from 44 tracked investors, plus ~250 public signals: insider buys, congressional trades, activist stakes, options flow, news tone.

§2
A model per investor anticipates

Each investor gets their own model, trained on their own history, predicting their next new position — scored as a probability, published with its as-of date.

§3
You place the trades

Export a copy sheet — target weights and a dollar split — and place it at your own broker. We never execute and never hold your money.

The difference

Mirror apps copy the past. We publish the reflection early.

A 13F shows what a manager held 45+ days ago. Copy-trading products mirror that stale snapshot. We model what shows up in the next filing — about six weeks before it is public.

QUARTER ENDS 13F PUBLIC · +45 DAYS Copy-trading apps mirror the stale snapshot Prior Moves PREDICTION PUBLISHED ~6 weeks of anticipation
The dashed line is a forecast and drawn as one. Hit rate by conviction tier is published on the track record. DIAGRAM · NOT TO SCALE
Track record

+1.8 pts per quarter. Not yet significant.

The Top-15 basket beat the S&P 500 by 1.8 points per quarter net of costs across 47 backtested quarters — and the 95% confidence interval includes zero. With t ≈ 1.45, this is a small directional research signal, not proof. We publish that sentence on purpose.

Beat index
26 / 47 q
t-statistic
≈ 1.45
95% CI, pts/q
[−0.4, +4.3]
Quarterly win rate
55%
Still a backtest, not a live record. Sparser filing histories make noisier models.
Quarterly excess return vs S&P 5002017–2025 · NET OF COSTS
0 mean +1.8 2017 2025
beat the index trailed it — shown at full strength
FAQ

Fair questions.

If your question is “will this make me rich?” — no one can promise that, and we won’t.

Is this investment advice?

No. Prior Moves is a research publication. We publish model portfolios and probabilities; we never execute trades, hold money, or know your situation. What you do at your broker is your decision.

How early are the predictions?

A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end. Our predictions publish about six weeks before the filing is public, each with an as-of date and the filing due date.

What happens when the model is wrong?

It often is: a P 0.68 pick should fail about a third of the time, and we grade ourselves on exactly that calibration, published per conviction tier on the track record page.

Is the edge proven?

Not yet. +1.8 pts/quarter over 47 backtested quarters with t ≈ 1.45 — the 95% confidence interval includes zero. It is a directional signal, and we would rather under-claim.

Why is it free — how do you make money?

The research is free. A paid weekly digest and partner licensing are the business; your portfolio never is. We hold no license to your money because we never touch it.

The weekly digest

What the record says is coming next.

The predicted next buys, fresh congressional trades, and the week’s catalysts. One email a week. Honest numbers, never advice.