Event odds
Real-money prediction markets price the probability of events that move the tape: rate cuts, recession, inflation prints, crypto levels, elections. This board snapshots the finance and macro markets on Polymarket as context alongside the 13F board.
These are the market's odds, not ours. Context, not a stock pick and not a recommendation.
| Event | Implied odds | Volume | Resolves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21? | 1.1% Yes | $10k | 2026-07-21 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | 11% Yes | $10k | 2027-02-12 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20? | 78.5% Yes | $10k | 2026-07-20 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | 4.5% Yes | $10k | 2026-12-31 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | 66.5% Up | $996 | 2026-07-17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 22? | 98.9% Yes | $99 | 2026-07-22 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 21? | 99% Yes | $10 | 2026-07-21 |