🪞 Chase Coleman · Tiger Global
Concentrated tech/growth (Tiger cub).
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🔮 Predicted next buys: quarter ending 2026-06-30
Pure model output for Chase Coleman · Tiger Global’s next 13F filing, no public confirmation yet. Probabilities are the model’s raw scores.
| # | Ticker | Company | Model probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XNDU | Xanadu Quantum Tech-Cl B | 99% |
| 2 | CVSA | Covista Inc | 99% |
| 3 | EXEEZ | Chesapeake Energy -Cw26 | 99% |
| 4 | PCH | Potlatchdeltic Corp | 99% |
| 5 | RVI | Robinhood Ventures Fund I | 99% |
| 6 | PAYP | Paypay Corp | 98% |
| 7 | EQPT | Equipmentshare.Com Inc-A | 96% |
| 8 | DNB | Dun & Bradstreet Holdings In | 91% |
| 9 | LITE | Lumentum Holdings Inc | 86% |
| 10 | EXEEL | Chesapeake Energy Corp -Cw26 | 84% |
📉 Predicted exits, conviction fading
Of Chase Coleman · Tiger Global’s current disclosed holdings, the names a model flags as most likely to be EXITED or TRIMMED next quarter, before the 13F shows it. Model score (not a calibrated probability), ranked. Holdings as of 2026-03-31.
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last move | Sell likelihood |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | Intel Corp | 0.32% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 64 |
| RDDT | Reddit Inc | 1.47% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 60 |
| CSGP | Costar Group Inc | 0.26% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 60 |
| - | Mercadolibre Inc | 1.02% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 58 |
| TTWO | Take-Two Interactive Softwar | 1.73% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 58 |
| CHYM | Chime Finl Inc | 0.91% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 57 |
| APO | Apollo Global Mgmt Inc | 1.61% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 55 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 4.05% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 55 |
⚠️ This predicts the ACTION (whether Chase Coleman · Tiger Global reduces the position), not a return and not a short. A 13F shows long positions only, so a “sell” here means exiting or cutting a long, never shorting the stock. Walk-forward validated on the decision (AUC ≈ 0.66), but acting on it is not shown to make money. Research, not advice.
📜 Top disclosed holdings: Mar 2026
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last change |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc | 13.38% | ✊ Held |
| NVDA | Nvidia Corporation | 9.17% | ✊ Held |
| AMZN | Amazon Com Inc | 9.12% | ✊ Held |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac | 8.23% | ➕ Added |
| META | Meta Platforms Inc | 7.73% | ➕ Added |
| SE | Sea Ltd | 5.59% | ✊ Held |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 4.86% | ➕ Added |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 4.05% | ➖ Trimmed |
| GEV | Ge Vernova Inc | 3.72% | ✊ Held |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corp | 3.65% | ✊ Held |
| - | Spotify Technology S A | 3.36% | ➕ Added |
| CPNG | Coupang Inc | 2.86% | ➕ Added |
| AMAT | Applied Matls Inc | 2.48% | ➕ Added |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | 2.23% | ✊ Held |
| APP | Applovin Corp | 1.74% | ➖ Trimmed |
Source: SEC Form 13F (public domain), long U.S. equity positions only, disclosed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Top 15 of 54 shown.
💲 Where they bought: accumulation cost
13F shows holdings, not trade prices. Implied average cost is total value ÷ shares; the zone is the price range that quarter, where they accumulated. “vs cost” is today versus that average. This is where they bought, not a future price.
| Ticker | Avg cost | Accumulation zone | Today | vs cost | Dip target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | $287.56 | $273–$343 | $346.77 | +20.6% | $254.76 |
| NVDA | $174.40 | $165–$195 | $207.40 | +18.9% | $144.97 |
| AMZN | $208.27 | $199–$247 | $247.23 | +18.7% | $183.61 |
| TSM | $337.95 | $316–$386 | $420.39 | +24.4% | $286.30 |
| META | $572.13 | $525–$737 | $664.54 | +16.2% | $547.02 |
| SE | $82.81 | $78–$143 | $104.05 | +25.6% | $106.06 |
| AVGO | $309.51 | $293–$353 | $370.83 | +19.8% | $262.23 |
| MSFT | $370.17 | $356–$481 | $385.10 | +4.0% | $357.25 |
| GEV | $872.90 | $622–$923 | $1057.84 | +21.2% | $685.24 |
| LRCX | $213.66 | $185–$249 | $313.30 | +46.6% | $184.82 |
Dip target = the recent high discounted by this investor’s historical tendency to add on weakness. Behavioral, not a guarantee.
🧬 Factor fingerprint, the style behind the book
88% of Chase Coleman · Tiger Global’s day-to-day swings are explained by public, buyable factors (Fama-French 5 + momentum), regressed on their current disclosed book (14 of 14 names, ~451 trading days). Market beta 1.35.
⚠️ This is the part the great investors can’t hide: their style is a tilt toward known factors, and every one of these is sold as a cheap index ETF. Buying the factors gets you most of the book for a few basis points. What’s left after the factors (the residual) is noisy on a single concentrated book and is not a reliable edge, read this as transparency about the style you’re copying, not a secret signal. Loadings are in-sample on current static weights, U.S. long positions only. Research, not advice.
📈 This mirror’s track: backtest vs S&P 500
⚠️ Read this honestly. Leak-free walk-forward backtest: top-10 predicted new buys ranked from a broad ~2,000-name universe known at the rebalance date, equal-weight, 1-quarter holds, complete quarters only, gross (before costs). Small samples, per-investor edges are noisy and not statistically significant. The consensus mirror's backtest shows +1.8 pts/quarter net vs the S&P 500 over 47 complete quarters (2014–2026), directional, NOT statistically significant (t≈1.4; 95% CI includes zero). Past performance does not predict future results. Not investment advice.
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