🪞 Southeastern
Build a basket from the top picks →
🔮 Predicted next buys: quarter ending 2026-06-30
Pure model output for Southeastern’s next 13F filing, no public confirmation yet. Probabilities are the model’s raw scores.
| # | Ticker | Company | Model probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GSIT | Gsi Technology Inc | 87% |
| 2 | LBEUR | L Brands Inc | 87% |
| 3 | CSOD | Cornerstone Ondemand Inc | 87% |
| 4 | MSGN | Msg Networks Inc- A | 87% |
| 5 | XPEV | Xpeng Inc - Adr | 85% |
| 6 | KDMN | Kadmon Holdings Inc | 83% |
| 7 | EXEEL | Chesapeake Energy Corp -Cw26 | 83% |
| 8 | SKAA | Skechers Usa Inc-Cl A | 77% |
| 9 | JNP | Juniper Networks Inc | 77% |
| 10 | OTX | Open Text Corp | 77% |
📉 Predicted exits, conviction fading
Of Southeastern’s current disclosed holdings, the names a model flags as most likely to be EXITED or TRIMMED next quarter, before the 13F shows it. Model score (not a calibrated probability), ranked. Holdings as of 2026-03-31.
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last move | Sell likelihood |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL | Paypal Hldgs Inc | 0.05% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 63 |
| - | Acm Resh Inc | 1.52% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 62 |
| FDX | Fedex Corp | 4.34% | trimmed last Q | ▲▲ 61 |
| XPO | Xpo Inc | 0.06% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 59 |
| - | Alexanders Inc | 1.15% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 58 |
| BUWA | Bio Rad Labs Inc | 2.23% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 57 |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | 4.97% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 55 |
| SAM | Boston Beer Inc | 1.34% | trimmed last Q | ▲ 53 |
⚠️ This predicts the ACTION (whether Southeastern reduces the position), not a return and not a short. A 13F shows long positions only, so a “sell” here means exiting or cutting a long, never shorting the stock. Walk-forward validated on the decision (AUC ≈ 0.66), but acting on it is not shown to make money. Research, not advice.
📜 Top disclosed holdings: Mar 2026
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last change |
|---|---|---|---|
| RYN | Rayonier Inc | 10.92% | ➕ Added |
| MAT | Mattel Inc | 9.16% | ➕ Added |
| - | Iac Inc | 7.92% | ✊ Held |
| CNX | Cnx Res Corp | 7.61% | ➖ Trimmed |
| ACI | Albertsons Cos Inc | 6.22% | ➕ Added |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | 4.97% | ➖ Trimmed |
| KHC | Kraft Heinz Co | 4.37% | ➖ Trimmed |
| FDX | Fedex Corp | 4.34% | ➖ Trimmed |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations I | 4.13% | ➕ Added |
| MGM | Mgm Resorts International | 3.03% | ➖ Trimmed |
| PVH | Pvh Corporation | 2.53% | ✊ Held |
| GLIBK | Gci Liberty Inc | 2.42% | ✊ Held |
| TRIP | Tripadvisor Inc | 2.41% | ➕ Added |
| BUWA | Bio Rad Labs Inc | 2.23% | ➖ Trimmed |
| - | Shenandoah Telecommunication | 2.23% | ✊ Held |
Source: SEC Form 13F (public domain), long U.S. equity positions only, disclosed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Top 15 of 49 shown.
💲 Where they bought: accumulation cost
13F shows holdings, not trade prices. Implied average cost is total value ÷ shares; the zone is the price range that quarter, where they accumulated. “vs cost” is today versus that average. This is where they bought, not a future price.
| Ticker | Avg cost | Accumulation zone | Today | vs cost | Dip target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RYN | $20.62 | $19–$24 | $21.81 | +5.8% | $14.28 |
| MAT | $14.53 | $14–$22 | $13.86 | -4.6% | $13.16 |
| CNX | $38.55 | $35–$43 | $33.28 | -13.7% | $25.31 |
| ACI | $17.04 | $16–$18 | $15.11 | -11.3% | $10.97 |
| REGN | $772.64 | $731–$810 | $649.81 | -15.9% | $481.23 |
| KHC | $22.49 | $21–$24 | $25.88 | +15.1% | $14.34 |
| FDX | $356.18 | $234–$311 | $312.98 | -12.1% | $184.52 |
| FBIN | $38.97 | $37–$64 | $51.61 | +32.4% | $37.82 |
| MGM | $37.01 | $33–$38 | $46.88 | +26.7% | $22.61 |
| GLIBK | $37.21 | $35–$40 | $21.93 | -41.1% | $23.79 |
Dip target = the recent high discounted by this investor’s historical tendency to add on weakness. Behavioral, not a guarantee.
🧬 Factor fingerprint, the style behind the book
70% of Southeastern’s day-to-day swings are explained by public, buyable factors (Fama-French 5 + momentum), regressed on their current disclosed book (11 of 13 names, ~451 trading days). Market beta 0.80.
⚠️ This is the part the great investors can’t hide: their style is a tilt toward known factors, and every one of these is sold as a cheap index ETF. Buying the factors gets you most of the book for a few basis points. What’s left after the factors (the residual) is noisy on a single concentrated book and is not a reliable edge, read this as transparency about the style you’re copying, not a secret signal. Loadings are in-sample on current static weights, U.S. long positions only. Research, not advice.
🔔 Follow this mirror
New filings and predicted-buy refreshes are published to every reader at once, weekly digest (email) · build a basket.
Prior Moves is a research publication: one impersonal model portfolio per investor, identical for every reader. You place any trades yourself at your own broker. No execution, no custody, no individualised advice.