🪞 Michael Burry · Scion
Contrarian, special situations + short bias.
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🔮 Predicted next buys: quarter ending 2026-06-30
Pure model output for Michael Burry · Scion’s next 13F filing, no public confirmation yet. Probabilities are the model’s raw scores.
| # | Ticker | Company | Model probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OII | Oceaneering Intl Inc | 83% |
| 2 | PXGBX | Praxair Inc | 81% |
| 3 | GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding Co | 81% |
| 4 | XPEV | Xpeng Inc - Adr | 80% |
| 5 | TXRH | Texas Roadhouse Inc | 78% |
| 6 | CE | Celanese Corp | 77% |
| 7 | SLM | Slm Corp | 75% |
| 8 | FUTU | Futu Holdings Ltd-Adr | 72% |
| 9 | SNI | Scripps Networks Inter-Cl A | 71% |
| 10 | GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia-Adr | 71% |
📜 Top disclosed holdings: Sep 2025
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc | 66.04% | 🆕 New |
| NVDA | Nvidia Corporation | 13.51% | ➕ Added |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc | 11.07% | ➕ Added |
| HAL | Halliburton Co | 4.45% | 🆕 New |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare Inc | 1.73% | ➕ Added |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica Inc | 1.29% | ➖ Trimmed |
| SLM | Slm Corp | 0.96% | 🆕 New |
| BRKR 6.375 09/01/28 | Bruker Corp | 0.95% | 🆕 New |
Source: SEC Form 13F (public domain), long U.S. equity positions only, disclosed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Top 15 of 8 shown.
💲 Where they bought: accumulation cost
13F shows holdings, not trade prices. Implied average cost is total value ÷ shares; the zone is the price range that quarter, where they accumulated. “vs cost” is today versus that average. This is where they bought, not a future price.
| Ticker | Avg cost | Accumulation zone | Today | vs cost | Dip target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | $182.42 | $131–$187 | $134.44 | -26.3% | $84.31 |
| NVDA | $186.58 | $153–$186 | $207.40 | +11.2% | $84.02 |
| PFE | $25.48 | $22–$25 | $25.05 | -1.7% | $11.10 |
| HAL | $24.60 | $20–$25 | $35.21 | +43.1% | $11.15 |
| MOH | $191.36 | $152–$306 | $227.70 | +19.0% | $138.11 |
| LULU | $177.93 | $160–$248 | $117.42 | -34.0% | $111.68 |
| SLM | $27.68 | $27–$34 | $24.89 | -10.1% | $15.19 |
Dip target = the recent high discounted by this investor’s historical tendency to add on weakness. Behavioral, not a guarantee.
🎯 Disclosed options: calls vs puts
13F discloses option positions too. Calls lean bullish or levered; puts lean bearish or hedging. This is the not-just-buying side of what they disclose.
| Ticker | Position | Lean |
|---|---|---|
| PLTR | puts | bearish / hedge |
| NVDA | puts | bearish / hedge |
| PFE | calls | bullish / levered |
| HAL | calls | bullish / levered |
Source: 13F option lines (put_call). Disclosed positions, not advice.
🧬 Factor fingerprint, the style behind the book
53% of Michael Burry · Scion’s day-to-day swings are explained by public, buyable factors (Fama-French 5 + momentum), regressed on their current disclosed book (7 of 7 names, ~451 trading days). Market beta 1.37.
⚠️ This is the part the great investors can’t hide: their style is a tilt toward known factors, and every one of these is sold as a cheap index ETF. Buying the factors gets you most of the book for a few basis points. What’s left after the factors (the residual) is noisy on a single concentrated book and is not a reliable edge, read this as transparency about the style you’re copying, not a secret signal. Loadings are in-sample on current static weights, U.S. long positions only. Research, not advice.
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