🪞 Michael Burry · Scion
Dormant. This investor last filed a 13F for Sep 2025 and has not filed under this CIK since. The holdings below are that final disclosed book, kept as a historical record; no new predictions are produced for a book that has stopped reporting.
Contrarian, special situations + short bias.
Hit rate is measured, not predicted: across 2,030 investor-quarters of walk-forward holdout, the name this model ranked first was the investor’s actual next new buy 1.7% of the time, against 0.62% for a name drawn at random from the same board. That is 2.77x chance. The model ranks the whole board; AUC and the rest of the scoring detail are on the how it works page.
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📜 Top disclosed holdings: Sep 2025
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Last change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc | 66.04% | 🆕 New |
| NVDA | Nvidia Corporation | 13.51% | 🆕 New |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc | 11.07% | 🆕 New |
| HAL | Halliburton Co | 4.45% | 🆕 New |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare Inc | 1.73% | 🆕 New |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica Inc | 1.29% | ➖ Trimmed |
| SLM | Slm Corp | 0.96% | 🆕 New |
| BRKR 6.375 09/01/28 | Bruker Corp | 0.95% | 🆕 New |
Source: SEC Form 13F (public domain), long U.S. equity positions only, disclosed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Top 15 of 8 shown.
💲 Where they bought: accumulation cost
13F shows holdings, not trade prices. Implied average cost is total value ÷ shares; the zone is the price range that quarter, where they accumulated. “vs cost” is today versus that average. This is where they bought, not a future price.
| Ticker | Avg cost | Accumulation zone | Today | vs cost | Dip target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | $182.42 | $131–$187 | $185.93 | +1.9% | $77.00 |
| NVDA | $186.58 | $153–$186 | $220.78 | +18.3% | $76.74 |
| PFE | $25.48 | $22–$24 | $28.46 | +11.7% | $9.96 |
| HAL | $24.60 | $20–$25 | $36.18 | +47.1% | $10.18 |
| MOH | $191.36 | $152–$306 | $198.75 | +3.9% | $126.15 |
| LULU | $177.93 | $160–$248 | $115.00 | -35.4% | $102.01 |
| SLM | $27.68 | $27–$34 | $26.77 | -3.3% | $13.87 |
Dip target = the recent high discounted by this investor’s historical tendency to add on weakness. Behavioral, not a guarantee.
🎯 Disclosed options: calls vs puts
13F discloses option positions too. Calls lean bullish or levered; puts lean bearish or hedging. This is the not-just-buying side of what they disclose.
| Ticker | Position | Lean |
|---|---|---|
| PLTR | puts | bearish / hedge |
| NVDA | puts | bearish / hedge |
| PFE | calls | bullish / levered |
| HAL | calls | bullish / levered |
Source: 13F option lines (put_call). Disclosed positions, not advice.
🧬 Factor fingerprint, the style behind the book
52% of Michael Burry · Scion’s day-to-day swings are explained by public, buyable factors (Fama-French 5 + momentum), regressed on their current disclosed book (7 of 7 names, ~421 trading days). Market beta 1.35.
⚠️ This is the part the great investors can’t hide: their style is a tilt toward known factors, and every one of these is sold as a cheap index ETF. Buying the factors gets you most of the book for a few basis points. What’s left after the factors (the residual) is noisy on a single concentrated book and is not a reliable edge, read this as transparency about the style you’re copying, not a secret signal. Loadings are in-sample on current static weights, U.S. long positions only. Research, not advice.
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